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Курсовая работа: Private sector and human-resource development in Georgia

Effective Abolition of Child Labor. According to the law, the minimum age for employment of children is 16 years; however, in exceptional cases, the minimum age can be 14 years. The Ministry of Health, Social Service, and Labor enforces these laws and generally they are respected.  The Government has not ratified the ILO Convention 182 on the worst forms of child labor.

Elimination of Discrimination in Employment.  The Constitution provides for the equality of men and women.  Women's access to the labor market has improved but remained primarily confined, particularly for older women, to low-paying and low-skilled positions, often without regard to high professional and academic qualifications.  Salaries for women continued to lag behind those of men. Reportedly men were given preference in promotions. Of the 114,512 registered unemployed persons throughout the country, 46 percent were women. Women sometimes, but not often, filled leadership positions. According to UNDP, employers frequently withheld benefits connected to pregnancy and childbirth.

1.5.4     Regulations about Real Estate in Georgia

Acquisition of real estate in Georgia. The transfer of ownership rights on a real estate are regulated by the Civil Code of Georgia (set in force on November 25, 1997), by the Laws of Georgia on "Ownership of Agricultural Lands" (adopted on March 22, 1996), "Managing and Disposal of State-owned non-agricultural Land" (adopted on October 28, 1998), "Managing and disposal of non-agricultural land being in usage of physical persons and public legal entities"(adopted on October 28, 1998). Real estate includes land-lots with fossils (minerals), plants and real estate premises as well.

For the purchase of a real estate legally (notary) approved document and purchaser’s registration in general list is required. The application for registration could be submitted by the seller or purchaser as well.

The right of ownership on agricultural and as well as non-agricultural lands is granted only to citizens of Georgia and to private legal entities registered according to Georgian legislation.

The fee for getting legal (notary) approval on real estate transactions is different in each case and depends on the value of real estate. The fee decreases with the increase of property value and fluctuates within 3-0,05%. The fee should not exceed GEL 10 000.

Transfer of real estate, except new dwelling constructions (new constructions are defined to be dwelling constructions built up within 2 years period) are free from VAT. Tax for transfer of immovable thing makes up 2% of property value.

For the registration of right on ownership on land-lot and related real estate and issue of relevant registration notice, the state registration fee makes up GEL 26.


1.7  The Business Environment in Georgia

Investors face a difficult environment in Georgia starting with the fundamental issue of geopolitical instability.  In addition, several surveys of existing and potential domestic and foreign investors show that the business environment is generally perceived as bureaucratic, non-transparent and corrupt.  Georgia is perceived as having significant obstacles to investment in the areas of taxes and regulations, policy instability/uncertainty and corruption. While the average official and unofficial fees for business procedures and the resources required (staff and time spent) may not be the highest in comparison to other countries, the unpredictability of costs and delays related to administrative procedures combined with uneven implementation and enforcement of regulations increases business risk and results in differential treatment among firms.


As shown in the above Figure, when scores on general constraints to business operations for enterprises in Georgia are compared to regional averages, the constraints are shown to be worse in Georgia for every category except the performance of the judiciary and anti-competitive practices. This substantiates the earlier observation that the business environment is perceived as being much more constrained in Georgia compared to competitors in the region. Further, it emphasizes the need for the Government of Georgia to address these critical constraints in order to help improve the country’s attractiveness for domestic and international investors.

Time and again it has been observed that decrees and programs of reform have been adopted but weakly implemented in the absence of the strong political will necessary to effect change. For example, the State Customs Department (SCD) reform committee was established by Presidential Order to finalize a reform strategy and implement an action plan. To date, little has been done on implementation. The committee rarely meets. Reform has been impeded by competing agendas and frequent changes in SCD leadership due to absence of strong political will to reform the customs department.

Corrupt practices significantly affect the process of doing business in Georgia by increasing the cost and the risk associated with a range of administrative procedures.  From the perspective of foreign investors in particular, facilitation payments or bribes do not simply increase business costs.  They constitute significant risk because in Georgia they are unpredictable and uneven. Also, in all OECD countries bribery constitutes a serious legal offence that can be prosecuted in the home country. Finally, corrupt taxation administration (income tax evasion) and customs procedures (smuggling) result in unfair competition for legitimate, law-abiding enterprises.

In addition, the following fundamental issues have the impact on administrative procedures in Georgia, particularly in the areas of customs and tax administration, licensing, and inspections:

·     Inconsistent implementation of legislation and lack of transparent implementing regulations and procedures. Since 1991, a number of laws have been revised and new laws have been written and promulgated. Although these laws are generally modern and well written, poor implementation and enforcement effectively undermine the intent of the laws. Throughout this report, it is clear that the legal framework and official requirements for most administrative procedures are relatively sound. However, problems and inconsistencies arise in implementation as officials often seek to maintain and exercise discretionary authority and control of administrative procedures.

·     Lack of published information on the various administrative procedures required for business establishment and operation. For example, the official gazette is significantly behind schedule and the business stamp approval procedure is still issued by the police at the cost of 10 GEL. The challenge of publishing and disseminating timely and current information among officials and the public is even greater because of the ongoing changes to existing laws. However, timely publication and dissemination is necessary in order to minimize information gaps and opportunities for corruption.

·     Absence of effective mechanisms for holding public officials accountable. In principle, the Administrative Code and the Civil Code include provisions on the conduct and accountability of public officials. However, in practice these provisions are not enforced. Efforts to introduce and implement codes of conduct for taxation and customs officials have had limited effect to date.

·     Absence of effective appeals mechanisms and the inadequate capacity of the courts. The Administrative Code provides for the public’s right to be heard in protesting or seeking clarification on the actions of most government agencies. However, there is no provision for an independent or autonomous arbiter to provide recourse. This function is apparently to be carried out by the courts. However, the integrity of the courts is often suspected and the capacity of the courts to address these issues is limited.


1.8  Institutional Arrangements

1.3.1     Securities Industry

The institutional structure of the securities industry includes the following market participants: reporting companies (i.e. the private companies whose shares are traded at Georgian Stock Exchange), securities brokerage companies, share registrars, clearing banks, Georgian Central Securities Depository (GCSD) and Georgian Stock Exchange (GSE). The overall supervision is carried out by the National Securities Commission of Georgia (NSCG).  The rights of the securities market participants are protected by the Georgian Securities Industry Association (GSIA). The structure of Georgian Stock Market is presented in Fig. 1.3.1.1:


Fig. 1.3.1.1. The Structure of Georgian Stock Market


2.   Society

2.1  Poverty issues

Poverty Trends. The relatively slow rebound from the economic collapse after independence has led to a severe decline in welfare.  Georgia’s annual income per capita is about 56 percent below the pre-independence level, unemployment rates are high (16 percent in 2001) and many Georgians are underemployed.  In the circumstances, poverty, vulnerability and inequality have all increased over the period.  Georgia clearly needs to achieve and sustain higher economic growth rates to improve living conditions.  Given the small size of the domestic market, this can be achieved only through a stronger expansion in export activities, especially of those in which Georgia has a comparative advantage and the potential to generate new job opportunities, such as agro-processing.

Poverty Profile.  Strengthened economic performance resulted in an reduction of poverty in the mid 1990s.  However, Georgia’s growth rate slowed considerably between 1998 and 2000, and consequently inequality and poverty increased as measured by any of several methodologies increased (see Table 2.1.1).  Growth was affected by a number of shocks, including the 1998 Russian crisis, severe droughts in 1998 and 2000, and the increase in the price of energy imports in 2000.  These problems were compounded by internal and external political instability.  Growth recovered in 2001-02, leading to a slight reduction in overall poverty.

Table 2.1.1. Change in poverty in Georgia between 1997 and 2002

Poverty Headcount (% of population)
Poverty definitions (lines) 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

2002a/

Official minimum

46.6

50.5

53.0

52.5

52.0

51.3b/

      Urban

46.7

53.3

60.4

56.6

54.3

53.7

      Rural

46.4

47.1

44.6

48.0

49.6

48.8

US$4.30 per capita/day at PPPc/

13.6 19.8 23.2 23.0 22.8 21.7

Recommended poverty line (baseline)

13.6

19.8

23.2

23.0

22.8

21.7

      Urban

13.8

22.2

27.4

24.6

24.1

22.6

      Rural

13.4

16.8

18.4

21.4

21.3

20.7

US$2.15 per capita/day at PPP c/

9.7 11.8 14.5 15.4 14.8 13.5

US$1.075 per capita/day at PPP c/

1.7 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.4 2.7

Source: SDS SGHH primary data and World Bank, see Georgia Poverty Update, Report No. 22350-GE.  NoteThe official poverty line uses a normative basket and CPI price data to cost it and is around 100 GEL (about US$50 at current exchange rate) per equivalent adult per month.  The recommended poverty line was developed jointly by the World Bank and SDS in 1998; it uses actual consumption patterns of the population and survey prices (its non-food component is fixed in real terms to 1996 and deflated using the CPI for non-food items); it is about 55 GEL (US$25) per month per equivalent adult.  The equivalence scale used in the official and recommended methodology is the scale developed by SDS and used in Georgia to determine the social assistance payments.  International poverty lines expressed in dollar terms (US$ in PPP) are per capita and use the latest (1996) revision of the World Bank, updated with the Georgia CPI.  All figures are averages of quarterly data.  a/ Preliminary estimate; corrections for changes in the Survey not made.  b/ Bank estimates using official methodology.  c/  Using 0.33 as PPP conversion factor.  

Differential Impact of Rising Poverty.  IDA, in close collaboration with the State Department of Statistics, prepared a  Poverty Update covering the 1998-2000 period.  The study found that the increase in poverty affected various socioeconomic groups differently, with growing differentiation among the poor, and signs that the poorest became even poorer.  Poverty depth and severity increased in the observed period by 84 and 94 percent respectively.  Driven by the volatile economic environment and absence of an adequate safety net, vulnerability to poverty for the average household rose significantly, with female-headed households being the most vulnerable.  Although the extent of absolute poverty at any point in time remained around 20-24 percent, 40 percent of the population experienced poverty at least once during the year 1999-2000, and 60 percent of the population faced a real risk of experiencing poverty in the medium term.  The high degree of vulnerability of households led them to apply strategies which may tend to increase chronic (long-term) poverty (e.g., shifting to subsistence farming, or pulling children out of school).

Urban and Rural Poverty.  The trend in overall poverty reflects somewhat different developments in urban and rural poverty.  In 1997, rural and urban poverty incidence were almost the same.  In 1999, the urban poverty headcount doubled in comparison to 1997, whilst the rural headcount increased by 37.3 percent. Then in 2000, responding to the non-agricultural sector recovery after the Russian crisis, urban poverty dropped by 10.2 percent, stabilized in 2001 and declined further by 6.2 percent in 2002.  Because of the drought, rural poverty increased in 2000, remained unchanged in 2001 and only in 2002 decreased by 2.9 percent.  As a result, the difference between the urban and rural headcount has narrowed -- while in 1999, the urban poverty headcount was almost 50 percent over that in the rural population, in 2002 it was 9 percent higher.   

Determinants of Poverty. The Georgia Poverty Update identified that the strongest determinants of poverty risk in Georgia in the period between 1998 and 2000 were economic: employment status, sector of employment, ownership of productive assets and education.  It found an elevated poverty risk among urban households, households with an unemployed head and female headed households, as well as  children aged 7-15, the disabled, those with low levels of education, single pensioners and orphans were experiencing.  The working poor are becoming the majority, often employed in the informal sector with insecure, temporary and low productivity jobs.

Non-Income Indicators of Poverty.   Non-income indicators of poverty in Georgia, inherited from Soviet times, still compare favorably with those of countries with similar per capita income.  The UNDP 2003 Human Development Report ranks Georgia 88th among 175 nations.  However, Georgia faces a major challenge in sustaining these relatively favorable indicators.  Studies conducted by various international organizations (UNICEF, USAID, EC, etc.), indicate that there has been no improvement in the indicators during the 1990s.  In fact, maternal mortality rate, immunization rates, access to health and education, access to safe water and sanitation and other living conditions indicators have deteriorated and the quality of social services has worsened substantially in comparison to the pre-transition situation.

Internally Displaced People.  IDPs vulnerability to poverty is magnified by their lack of access to land.  Thus IDPs living in collective centers are 3½ times less likely to have access to land than the local population, and those living in private accommodations half as likely.  In addition, IDP’s rate of unemployment is very high -- 40% among IDPs living in collective centers.  Government benefits do seem, however, to be reaching the IDPs, with 80% to 90% receiving a government benefit.

Millennium Development Goals.  The estimates of Georgia’s prospects for achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) show a mixed picture based on Georgia’s current performance, as indicated in Table 2.1.2.


Table 2.1.2: Millennium Development Goals

Millennium Development Goal

Present Situation

Prospects for Achievement by 2015

Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger.

Target 1: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the propor­tion of people whose income is less than $2.15 a day.

NOTE: While the MDG indicator and target include $1 a day, a higher poverty line such as $2.15 is considered more appropriate in ECA given the extra expenditure on heat, winter clothing and food. (“The Millennium Development Goals in ECA”, World Bank, forthcoming)

Target 2: Halve between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger.

In 2002, the poverty incidence at the international poverty line of US$2.15  per capita/per month at PPP was 13.5 percent. 

While the exact  percentage of people suffering from hunger in Georgia is not known,  there is no evidence that would indicate that hunger is an issue in Georgia. 

Likely.  The Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Program of Georgia envisages economic performance that would allow Georgia to meet the MDG. 

Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education.

Target 3: Ensure that by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling.

Enrollment rates in basic education (grades 1-9) are close to 100 percent.

Likely.

Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women.

Target 4: Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005 and in all levels of education no later than 2015.

Surveys show no significant gender differences in access to primary and secondary education.

Likely.

Goal 4: Reduce child mortality.

Target 5: Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate.

According to the Human Development Report 2003, the under-five morality rate in Georgia in 2001 was 29 per 1,000 live births.  This was better that the average for ECA (36/1,000); and much better than the average for medium human development group of countries – 61 per 1,000 live births.

Due to current efforts and actions planned under the EDPRP to keep immunization rates at high level, improve breast-feeding rates, provide appropriate case management and home and in community for acute respiratory infection, pneumonia and diarrhea and improve access to appropriate health care, reliable water and improved sanitation, it is  estimated that Georgia will make a significant progress in reducing the U5MR.  However, the MDG target (U5MR of 9.7 per 1,000 live births, which is close to the current U5MR level in developed countries)  is estimated as unlikely to be met, given Georgia’s very low public spending on health.

Goal 5: Improve maternal health.

Target 6: Reduce by three-quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio. 

Available data suggests the MMR doubled over the last 10 years to almost 59 per 100,000 live births in 2001.  Only 59 percent of women complete the mandatory 4 antenatal visits but 96% of births are attended by skilled health personnel

Planned actions aimed at improving antenatal care are expected to result in decreased maternal mortality.  However, given high maternal mortality rate and its recent increase, the MDG target (15 per 100,000 live births) is estimated as unlikely to be met.


Millennium Development Goal

Present Situation

Prospects for Achievement by 2015

Goal 6: Combat  HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases.

Target 7: Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS.

Target 8: Have halted by 2015, and begun to reverse, the incidence of malaria and other major diseases.

HIV/AID is spreading fast.  The number of new HIV cases in 1997  increased nearly threefold compared with the previous year and accounted 21 cases; in 2001 93 cases were registered. From 1998 through 2001 more then a half of newly registered HIV cases have been attributed to IDUs. The percentage of new cases attributed to heterosexual contacts also increases, suggesting that the epidemic is leaking into the general population. HIV/AIDS is predominantly present in young people (21-35 years old). In 2001 over 87 percent of all new AIDS cases have been detected  in 26-35 age group.

The prevalence of TB has increased  from 28.2 in 1991 to 85.8 in 2001, reflecting the spread of disease, but also better recording of incidence.

While Georgia has improved HIV recording and reporting, there is an urgent need to introduce prevention & education on a broad basis, as well as surveillance among high risk groups. The MDG target for HIV/AIDS is unlikely to be met

Political commitment and additional resources are required to keep the spread of TB under control. An upcoming PHC Development program is expected to further improve the effectiveness of control measures.  If measures are appropriately implemented, it is possible to arrest and reverse the trend.

Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability.

Target 9: Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programs and reverse the loss of environmental resources.

Target 10: Halve by 2015 the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water.

The National Environmental Action Plan and Biodiversity Strategy are a framework  for  environment and sustainable use of natural resources.  The EDPRP highlights  steps  to mainstream environment  into development, but implementation is limited.   An environmental permitting system and other  legislation are in place, but institutional weaknesses (unclear  responsibilities, weak monitoring and enforcement, sometimes excessive and non-transparent regulations)  limit enforcement.  With regard the specific indicators,  despite its unique ecosystems in Georgia 2.8% of the land area is protected to maintain biological diversity compared with the world average of 6.5%. Forest cover is 40% but the quality of management is inadequate. Energy intensity and carbon emissions indicators are not high, but there are severe problems with delivery of energy services to the population.

In 1999, about 86% of urban population and 43% of rural population had access to piped water supply.  Reliability and quality of services are serious problems. Water systems are largely in a state of severe disrepair. Low capacity of people to pay for the services together with limited government budgets represent real constraints to mobilize resources into the sector. Involvement of IFIs is critical to avoid total collapse of sector.

Political will and strong commitment as well as human and financial resources are needed to ensure environmental sustainability.  If the governance environment and institutional capacity improve, and  if resources for environment and natural resource management could be increased, it would be possible to meet target 9.

About US$ 8-10 million annually will be needed for the rehabilitation of old deteriorated existing systems and expansion of access to piped water supply to an additional 0.5 million people  if the target 10 were to be met. Given current low level of investments in the sector, it is unlikely that Georgia will meet this target.


3.  Economics

3.1  Main economic indicators

 








Sectoral Growth.  Agriculture, industry, trade and transport dominate the structure of the Georgian economy.  Agricul­ture is the largest sector accounting for just under 20 percent of GDP and 50 per­cent of employ­ment, although its share in GDP has decreased steadily (from over 30 per­cent of GDP in 1996).  Industry contributes about 14 percent of GDP and 6 percent of employment, with its share changing little.  The share of trans­port and tele­communi­cations has nearly tripled from 4.6 percent in 1996 to 12.1 percent by 2002.  Transport has been the fastest growing sector, growing at over 20 percent annually because of the rapid expansion of oil transit from the Caspian Sea.  Although transport turnover has tripled, it is still at one third of the pre-independence level.  Other fast growing sectors include construction and finan­cial services.  Trade has grown slightly faster than overall GDP. Sectoral growth index is presented in Fig. 3.1.1.


According to information from 2001 88.6% of the economically active population was employed, thus the unemployment rate was 11.4%.

The distribution of the employed work force by economic sectors is as follows:

 Sector

%

Agriculture & forestry, fishery 53,4
Mining Industry 0,3
Processing Industry 6,5
Energy, gas or water production and supply 1,2
Construction 1,6
Trade & household goods technical service 8,6
Hotels & Restaurants 0,9
Transport, Warehouse economy and communications 4,0
Financial mediation 0,7
Operations with real estate, lease (rent) and business activity, research and projecting works 2,1
State management and self-defense, compulsory social insurance 5,8
Education 7,4
Health care and social service 4,3
Other communal, social and personal service, culture, entertainment, rest 2,4
Hired (engaged) service in private domestic economy 0,4
Ex-territorial (International) organization 0,1
Unidentified 0,1
Total 100

According to 2001 data, the minimum subsistence level for a medium sized family (4 persons) at average prices was 205.2 GEL.


3.2  Agriculture

Introduction.  Only 44 percent of Georgia’s land is used for agriculture. Twenty-six percent is arable land, 9 percent is used for perennials, 65 percent is pastureland, and 0.4 percent is fellow land. Sixty percent of the arable land needs artificial irrigation. The soil is mainly moderately fertile and easy to cultivate. Table 1 below shows the distribution of the agricultural land by agricultural product.

Table 1 Distribution of Agricultural Land by Product

Product Land occupied (thousand ha)
Cereals 379,0
Citrus 10,9
Fruit 60,0
Potato 34,0
Sunflower 40,0
Tea 40,0
Vegetables 40,0
Vineyards 61,3

In the 20th century, Georgia became a country of agro-industry, with well-developed agriculture and food industry and with a good level of production. More than half of its GDP came under the agro-industrial sector of the country; 47 - 48% of the main funds were accumulated within the sector and it employed 41 - 42% of the total population of Georgia.

Georgia used to be an important exporter of food and one of the main suppliers of vegetables, tea, citrus fruits, wine, mineral waters, brandy, canned and fresh vegetables and fruits to the markets of the former Soviet Union. In the second half of the 1980s, the Georgian share of the food market of the former Soviet Republics was 10 percent. The total amount of exported food products was 1.7 times more than imported ones. The country is now undertaking actions to re-establish this exporting.

Since independence in 1991 the country experienced many years of civil war and ethnic conflicts, with 260,000 people internally displaced.

However, Georgia's economy is still strongly linked to the Russian Federation and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Approximately 50 percent of its trade is with the CIS.

Agriculture is a main source of income and employment for the majority of the population, accounting for more then 30 percent of GDP. Output in the sector is only about 40 percent of its 1990 level, but employment in the sector has doubled and it now accounts for over 50 percent of the total employment.

Land privatisation has focused on the small-scale (household/subsistence) sector with little real progress in restructuring the former large state farms. Land reform has resulted in the allotment of small parcels of land up to 1.25 hectares to each rural family and the lease, through district authorities, of state owned land to persons or legal entities, with the aim of creating a subsistence sector for small farmers and a market sector controlled by large leaseholders.

Private producers account for the significant share of fruit, vegetable and livestock production, when their share in wheat production is about two thirds of the total wheat production in the country. The bulk of the domestic wheat production is consumed on farms for food, seed or feed. Indications are that only 20 percent of domestic production of wheat is marketed.

Low yields, also as a result of poor infrastructure, inadequate access to credit for inputs and suitable machinery, and high costs associated with transport and marketing have had a negative impact on food production and the earning capacity of a significant proportion of the population and thus on household food security.

The state of irrigation and drainage systems is also a major constraint to increasing crop yields and the competitiveness of domestic produce with imports. More than 60 percent of grain, 60 percent of dairy products and 33 percent of meat consumed in the country are imported.

Agricultural production in Georgia dropped sharply in 2000 due to a serious drought. WFP/FAO Crop and Food Supply Assessment mission carried out in mid-August 2000 estimates that Georgia will face a severe food crisis due to the drought. This situation is being exacerbated by on-going serious economic problems.

After droughts, agricultural production showed a slight increase of 5.6 percent in 2001, however the share of agricultural output in GDP dropped from 21 percent in 2000 to 19.2 percent in 2001.

During the present year, USAID has launched a five year program, called Support Value Added Enterprise (SAVE) that will promote economic growth through expanded production and sales of added-value agricultural products on international markets. Through this program the US government will support agriculture development through market expansion, standards on organic food production, distribution, improved credit and whole-chain food distribution networks.

Key Agriculture Indicators.

Agricultural output per hectare of agricultural land and per capita (US $)

Year Per 1 ha of agricultural land Per capita
1990 1195 725
1995 481 272
1996 539 302
1997 583 328
1998 531 301
1999 435 285

Source: Georgian Agriculture 1999

Agriculture in GDP

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
29,7 41,7 31,0 28,2 24,8 25,0 21,5 19,2
31,9 28,8 55,5 70,4 34,2 39,5 32,6

Source: State Department for Statistics of Georgia (1st Row), GEPLAC , 1997(2nd Row).

Trends in Share of Total Agricultural Production, (%)

1985 1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Crop production 68.1 68.7 58.4 49.8 59.3 56.4 56.8 45,8
Livestock Production 31.9 31.3 41.6 50.2 40.7 43.6 43.2 54,2

 Source: SDS, Georgian Agriculture 2000, p.9.

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